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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Carlisle United |
32.53% ( -1.13) | 28.61% ( 0.22) | 38.86% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 45.63% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.25% ( -0.95) | 60.75% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.19% ( -0.72) | 80.8% ( 0.72) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.52% ( -1.29) | 34.47% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.81% ( -1.39) | 71.19% ( 1.39) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( 0.07) | 30.36% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.45% ( 0.09) | 66.55% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |