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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 44.29% ( | 28.06% | 27.65% |
| Both teams to score 45.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.65% | 60.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% | 80.5% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% | 27.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% | 62.53% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% ( | 38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% | 74.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.49% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.65% |