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Championship header 2

League Two

Leyton Orient
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Breyer Group Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Leyton Orient
2 - 0
Crewe

Moncur (51' pen.), Kelman (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Walsall
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCrewe Alexandra
67.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)20.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)12.49% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51%71.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)13.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (0.014000000000003 0.01)41.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)48.99% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)83.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 67.25%
    Crewe Alexandra 12.49%
    Draw 20.24%
Leyton OrientDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 13.25%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 8.77% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 67.25%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Crewe

Leyton Orient
100%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Crewe
0-2
Leyton Orient

Nevitt (90+2')
Turns (31'), Archibald (59')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Crewe
1-0
Leyton Orient
Sambou (90+2')
Thomas (31')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 30
Crewe
2-0
Leyton Orient
Kirk (2'), Powell (88')
Pickering (81')

Marsh (59')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 9
Leyton Orient
1-2
Crewe
Maguire-Drew (42')
Dennis (66'), Marsh (93')
Nolan (32'), Jones (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Crewe
3-0
Leyton Orient
Ainley (26'), Wintle (30'), Cooper (45')
Bakayogo (72')