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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 30.28% ( | 29.41% ( | 40.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.17% ( | 63.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.94% ( | 83.06% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( | 37.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( | 74.59% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( | 31.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( | 67.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 3-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0-0 @ 11.74% ( 2-2 @ 3.8% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.4% | 0-1 @ 13.73% ( 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.31% |