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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Leyton Orient |
30.28% ( 0.05) | 29.41% ( 0.03) | 40.31% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 42.88% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.17% ( -0.09) | 63.82% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.94% ( -0.06) | 83.06% ( 0.06) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.18% ( -0.01) | 37.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.4% ( -0.01) | 74.59% ( 0.01) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( -0.09) | 31.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% ( -0.11) | 67.36% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.4% | 0-1 @ 13.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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