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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Harrogate Town |
62.48% ( 1.26) | 21.39% ( -0.6) | 16.13% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 49.54% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.07% ( 1.35) | 46.93% ( -1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.82% ( 1.25) | 69.18% ( -1.25) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% ( 0.85) | 14.43% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.63% ( 1.62) | 42.37% ( -1.62) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.89% ( -0.04) | 42.11% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.47% ( -0.03) | 78.53% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.51% Total : 62.47% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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