Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.