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Championship header 2

League Two

Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Gillingham

Northampton
2 - 1
Gillingham

Appere (32'), Hondermarck (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Brien (63')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 3-0 Northampton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Doncaster
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawGillingham
51.95% (0.322 0.32)27.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)20.64% (-0.335 -0.34)
Both teams to score 40.62% (-0.413 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.12% (-0.318 -0.32)62.88% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.62% (-0.232 -0.23)82.38% (0.229 0.23)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)59.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.85% (-0.553 -0.55)46.15% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (-0.432 -0.43)81.84% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 51.94%
    Gillingham 20.64%
    Draw 27.4%
Northampton TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 15.91% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.33% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.64%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gillingham
0-2
Northampton
Hoskins (27'), Bowie (72')
McGowan (58')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gillingham
2-2
Northampton
Oliver (11'), Lee (68')
O'Keefe (32'), Cundy (42'), Samuel (71')
Edmondson (79'), Horsfall (83')
Watson (14'), Mills (40'), Morris (55')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
3-1
Gillingham
Hoskins (31' pen.), Rose (35'), Sheehan (47')
McWilliams (82'), Ashley-Seal (84')
Dempsey (45')
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
Northampton
1-2
Gillingham
Taylor (55')
Powell (20'), Grimes (31'), Turnbull (64'), Pereira (93')
Pereira (95')
Parker (6'), Eaves (18')
Reilly (11'), Ogilvie (63'), O'Neill (79')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Gillingham
1-2
Northampton
Martin (62')
Zakuani (89')
Powell (45'), Grimes (73')
Buchanan (9'), McWilliams (70'), Grimes (86')