League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Louis Appere 32' goal
  • Will Hondermarck 82' goal
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 63'

Northampton Town vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
Newport 3 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
Gillingham 1 - 0 Doncaster
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tom Nichols

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result

Northampton Town 51.95% (+0.33)
Draw 27.41% (+0.01)
Gillingham 20.64% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.62% (-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.12% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 62.88% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 17.62% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 82.38% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 7% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 92.99% (+0.13)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.44% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.56% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.95% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.05% (-0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 53.85% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 46.15% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 18.16% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 81.84% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 51.94%
Draw 27.4%
Gillingham 20.64%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 15.91% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 11.17% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.23% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.84% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 51.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.33% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.4%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.64%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • goal Sam Hoskins 27'
  • goal Kieron Bowie 72'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Vadaine Oliver 11' goal
  • Stuart O'Keefe 32' yellowcard
  • Robbie Cundy 42' yellowcard
  • Olly Lee 68' goal
  • Dominic Samuel 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Watson 14'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mills 40'
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 55'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 79'
  • goal Fraser Horsfall 83'
League One Gameweek 21
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Sam Hoskins 31' goal
  • Danny Rose 35' goal
  • Alan Sheehan 47' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 82' yellowcard
  • Benny Ashley-Seal 84' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle Dempsey 45'
League One
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Daniel Powell 20' yellowcard
  • Matt Grimes 31' yellowcard
  • Ash Taylor 55' goal
  • Jordan Turnbull 64' yellowcard
  • Hildeberto Pereira 93' yellowcard
  • Hildeberto Pereira 95' redcard
  • goal Josh Parker 6'
  • yellowcard Callum Reilly 11'
  • goal Tom Eaves 18'
  • yellowcard Connor Ogilvie 63'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Neill 79'
League One
Oct 21, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lee Martin 62' goal
  • Gabriel Zakuani 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Buchanan 9'
  • goal Daniel Powell 45'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 70'
  • goal Matt Grimes 73'
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 86'
League One
Apr 30, 2017 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matthew Taylor 42' yellowcard
  • Brendan Moloney 75' yellowcard