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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Stockport County |
| 27.78% ( | 29.08% ( | 43.14% |
| Both teams to score 42.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.38% ( | 63.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.08% ( | 82.91% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.27% ( | 39.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.6% ( | 76.4% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% | 29.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( | 65.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.42% Total : 27.77% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 11.64% ( 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 14.29% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-3 @ 3.58% 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.45% Total : 43.14% |