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Championship header 2

League Two

Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Barrow

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Barrow

Orsi (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Barrow
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawBarrow
39.34% (0.055000000000007 0.06)28.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.83% (0.050000000000004 0.05)61.17% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)81.12% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (0.057000000000002 0.06)30.28% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (0.067 0.07)66.45% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.87% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 39.34%
    Barrow 31.94%
    Draw 28.7%
Grimsby TownDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.7%
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.7%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.94%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Barrow
1-0
Grimsby Town
Waters (75')
Brough (31')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Barrow
0-1
Grimsby Town
Spokes (71')
John-Lewis (62')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Barrow
Gibson (60')
Waterfall (77'), McKeown (89')

Hird (41'), Platt (71')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Barrow
1-3
Grimsby Town
Khan (31')
Williams (70')
Amond (36', 85'), Gowling (60')
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
4-1
Barrow
Monkhouse (16', 59'), Bogle (21'), Nsiala (66')
Monkhouse (19')
Newby (92')
Mellor (32'), Walker (83')