Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.