/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwiglog.png)
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Korey Smith
37'
-
Eiran Cashin
48'
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Craig Forsyth
57'
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Charlie Wyke
37'
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Charlie Hughes
49'
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Charlie Wyke
72'
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Matt Smith
88'
Derby County vs Wigan Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
47.34%
▼
(-2.65)
Draw
26.49%
▲
(+0.37)
Wigan Athletic
26.17%
▲
(+2.29)
Both Teams to Score:
48.47%
▲
(+1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.38%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
55.62%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
23.22%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
76.78%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 4.5
10.25%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
89.75%
▼
(-0.15)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
76.5%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 0.5
23.5%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 1.5
42.47%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 1.5
57.53%
▲
(+1.58)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
63.35%
▲
(+2.20)
Under 0.5
36.65%
▼
(-2.20)
Over 1.5
26.57%
▲
(+2.14)
Under 1.5
73.44%
▼
(-2.14)
Score analysis
Derby County
47.34%
Draw
26.49%
Wigan Athletic
26.17%
Derby County
1-0
@
12.47%
▼
(-0.55)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.71)
3-1 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.50)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.34%
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.71)
3-1 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.50)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.34%
Draw
1-1
@
12.52%
▲
(+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.49%
0-0 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.49%
Wigan Athletic
0-1
@
8.65%
▲
(+0.41)
1-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.47)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.27)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.17%
1-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.47)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.27)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.17%
