League One

League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 2
Wigan

Forsyth (57')
Smith (37'), Cashin (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wyke (37', 72')
Hughes (49'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Wigan Athletic
47.34% ( -2.64)	26.49% ( 0.36)	26.17% ( 2.28)

Both teams to score 48.47% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38% (

0.29)

55.62% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

0.24)

76.78% (

-0.24)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

-1.07)

23.5% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

-1.58)

57.53% (

1.58)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.35% (

2.19)

36.65% (

-2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57% (

2.14)

73.44% (

-2.14)

Score Analysis

Derby County 47.34%

Wigan Athletic 26.17%

Draw 26.49%

Derby County	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.7) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.34%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.17%