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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Millwall logo

Wigan
2 - 1
Millwall

Keane (14'), Aasgaard (84')
McClean (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saville (30')
Styles (37'), Cooper (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Millwall

Wigan will be looking for back-to-back victories in order to keep their survival hopes alive but face a difficult assignment against a Millwall side playing for a top-six finish. The Lions will be desperate to put things right after a limp display against Birmingham, and with the Latics needing to go for a victory, Rowett's men could be afforded some extra space in attack that Bradshaw and company will exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawMillwall
27.37% (0.07 0.07) 28.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 44.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96% (0.082000000000001 0.08)61.04% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (0.059999999999999 0.06)81.02% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.104 0.1)38.62% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (0.097000000000001 0.1)75.36% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.4% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.88% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 27.37%
    Millwall 44.39%
    Draw 28.22%
Wigan AthleticDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.37%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 13.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 44.39%

How you voted: Wigan vs Millwall

Wigan Athletic
26.1%
Draw
30.4%
Millwall
43.5%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Millwall
1-1
Wigan
Flemming (40')
Wallace (14')
Keane (33')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Millwall
2-2
Wigan
Hutchinson (24'), Smith (60')
Hutchinson (63'), Romeo (79')
Pilkington (3'), Robinson (56')
Macleod (43')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Wigan
1-0
Millwall
Garner (15')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Millwall
2-1
Wigan
Williams (60' pen.), Morison (82')
Meredith (45'), Hutchinson (90'), Gregory (90')
Wallace (45' og.)
Naismith (50'), Kipre (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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