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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Millwall logo

Wigan
2 - 1
Millwall

Keane (14'), Aasgaard (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saville (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawMillwall
27.37% (0.07 0.07)28.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)44.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96% (0.082000000000001 0.08)61.04% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (0.059999999999999 0.06)81.02% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.104 0.1)38.62% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (0.097000000000001 0.1)75.36% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.4% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.88% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 27.37%
    Millwall 44.39%
    Draw 28.22%
Wigan AthleticDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.37%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 13.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 44.39%

How you voted: Wigan vs Millwall

Wigan Athletic
26.1%
Draw
30.4%
Millwall
43.5%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Millwall
1-1
Wigan
Flemming (40')
Wallace (14')
Keane (33')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
gameweek 34
Wigan
1-0
Millwall
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Millwall
2-2
Wigan
Hutchinson (24'), Smith (60')
Hutchinson (63'), Romeo (79')
Pilkington (3'), Robinson (56')
Macleod (43')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Wigan
1-0
Millwall
Garner (15')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Millwall
2-1
Wigan
Williams (60' pen.), Morison (82')
Meredith (45'), Hutchinson (90'), Gregory (90')
Wallace (45' og.)
Naismith (50'), Kipre (90')
rhs 2.0


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