Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 28'

Millwall vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Millwall 2 - 0 Preston
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Tom Bradshaw

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Sunderland 2 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Scott Hogan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Millwall 51.82% (-0.01)
Draw 25.51% (-0.01)
Birmingham City 22.67% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.86% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.3% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.98% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.02% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.72% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.28% (-0.01)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 78.86% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.14% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.01% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.99%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 60.68% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.32% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 23.98% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.02% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Millwall 51.81%
Draw 25.51%
Birmingham City 22.67%
Millwall
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 51.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.51%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.67%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juninho Bacuna 47' goal
  • Marc Roberts 52' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 54' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 79' goal
  • Ivan Sunjic 86' yellowcard
  • Juninho Bacuna 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Saville 25'
  • goal Oliver Burke 68'
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara 72'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 74'
  • goal Benik Afobe 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Murray Wallace 10' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 41' goal
  • George Evans 74' goal
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 20'
  • yellowcard Marc Roberts 50'
  • goal Troy Deeney 56'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 17, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Jed Wallace 3' goal
  • Ben Thompson 75' goal
  • Mahlon Romeo 78' yellowcard
  • Ryan Woods 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rekeem Harper 53'
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 70'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jonathan Leko 28' yellowcard
  • Ivan Sunjic 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace 21'
Championship Gameweek 35
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Mahlon Romeo 80' yellowcard