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Championship header 2

Championship

Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Den
Birmingham logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Birmingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
51.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)22.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.99%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.81%
    Birmingham City 22.67%
    Draw 25.51%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.67%

How you voted: Millwall vs Birmingham

Millwall
69.1%
Draw
16.4%
Birmingham City
14.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Birmingham
0-0
Millwall

Wallace (51')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Millwall
Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-0
Birmingham
Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
0-0
Millwall

Leko (28'), Sunjic (79')

Wallace (21')
rhs 2.0


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