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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Den
Birmingham logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Birmingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (28')
Bielik (34'), Long (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

Millwall face Birmingham, Wigan Athletic and Blackpool in their next three matches, and Rowett will realise his side have a good chance of securing playoff football before they welcome Blackburn Rovers to The Den on the final day. Birmingham have little to play for in terms of promotion or relegation, but a number of the Blues squad will be auditioning for a place at the club next season, and we see Eustace's battling to a point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
51.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.99%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.81%
    Birmingham City 22.67%
    Draw 25.51%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.67%

How you voted: Millwall vs Birmingham

Millwall
69.1%
Draw
16.4%
Birmingham City
14.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Millwall
Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-0
Birmingham
Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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