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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Swansea City |
28.96% ( 0.56) | 26.99% ( 0.03) | 44.05% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44% ( 0.14) | 55.99% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.91% ( 0.11) | 77.08% ( -0.11) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.4% ( 0.51) | 34.59% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.68% ( 0.54) | 71.31% ( -0.54) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.74% ( -0.23) | 25.25% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.99% ( -0.32) | 60.01% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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