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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Swansea City |
| 28.96% ( | 26.99% ( | 44.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% ( | 55.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% ( | 77.08% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% ( | 34.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.68% ( | 71.31% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( | 25.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( | 60.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 3-2 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0-2 @ 8.27% ( 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.05% |