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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Wigan logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Wigan

FT(HT: 0-0)
Keane (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Wigan
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWigan Athletic
53.66% (-0.599 -0.6)24.9% (0.186 0.19)21.43% (0.41 0.41)
Both teams to score 48.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.28 -0.28)53.62% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.236 -0.24)75.12% (0.232 0.23)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)19.95% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.89% (-0.562 -0.56)52.11% (0.558 0.56)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (0.26 0.26)39.93% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (0.24 0.24)76.59% (-0.244 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.66%
    Wigan Athletic 21.43%
    Draw 24.9%
Stoke CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.43%

How you voted: Stoke vs Wigan

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
6.8%
Wigan Athletic
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Stoke
2-0
Wigan
Maja (14'), Brown (62')
Thompson (53'), Wilmot (60')

Kerr (45+2'), Edwards (69')
Edwards (74')
Jul 27, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wigan
2-1
Stoke
Lang (36'), Humphrys (80')
Ince (43')
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Wigan
Batth (55'), Biram Diouf (92')
McClean (41'), Ward (77'), Ndiaye (96')
Morsy (39')
Byrne (54'), Morsy (96')