AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Derby logo

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Derby

Evans (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (4')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 MK Dons
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawDerby County
23.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)24.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.33% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.5%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)49.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 23.6%
    Derby County 52.33%
    Draw 24.06%
Bristol RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.6%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 52.33%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Derby
4-2
Bristol Rovers
McGoldrick (5', 24', 40'), Collins (12')
Thomas (35'), Evans (45+3')
Gordon (23')