League One
Gameweek
42
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbrilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
-
Antony Evans
90'+5'
-
David McGoldrick
4'
Bristol Rovers vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result
Bristol Rovers
23.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Derby County
52.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
48.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
29.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
70.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
14.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
85.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5
65.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
34.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
28.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
71.5%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
81.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
18.34%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
50.54%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
49.45%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Bristol Rovers
23.6%
Draw
24.06%
Derby County
52.33%
Bristol Rovers
1-0
@
6.74%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.6%
2-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.6%
Draw
1-1
@
11.42%
0-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.06%
0-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.06%
Derby County
0-1
@
10.81%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-3 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 52.33%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-3 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 52.33%
Head to Head
League One
Gameweek
17
-
David McGoldrick
5'
-
James Collins
12'
-
David McGoldrick
24'
-
David McGoldrick
40'
-
Bobby Thomas
35'
-
Antony Evans
45'+3'