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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 35.67% ( | 27.51% ( | 36.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( | 77.42% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( | 30.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% ( | 66.3% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( | 29.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.55% ( | 65.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.81% |