Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.