League One Gameweek 46
Sheff Weds
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Michael Smith 43' goal

Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 3 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Michael Smith

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
David McGoldrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result

Sheffield Wednesday 50.6% ▲ (+0.43)
Draw 25.52% ▼ (-0.17)
Derby County 23.88% ▼ (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.15% ▲ (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.33% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 53.67% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 24.84% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 75.16% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 4.5 11.25% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 88.74% ▼ (-0.23)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5 78.76% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 21.23% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 45.86% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 1.5 54.13% ▼ (-0.55)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 62.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 37.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.62%
Under 1.5 74.38%

Score analysis

Sheffield Wednesday 50.6%
Draw 25.52%
Derby County 23.88%
Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 12.37% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.52%
Derby County
0-1 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.14)
1-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.88%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 20
Derby
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
Championship Gameweek 46
Derby
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Martyn Waghorn 49' goal
  • Patrick Roberts 52' goal
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 60' yellowcard
  • Kamil Jozwiak 76' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 78' goal
  • Festy Ebosele 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 45'+1'
  • goal Sam Hutchinson 45'+3'
  • goal Callum Paterson 62'
  • goal Julian Borner 69'
  • yellowcard Chey Dunkley 77'
  • yellowcard Kadeem Harris 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 23
Sheff Weds
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Callum Paterson 61' goal
  • yellowcard Colin Kazim-Richards 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kamil Jozwiak 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 36
Sheff Weds
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Barry Bannan 41' yellowcard
  • Josh Windass 74' goal
  • Dominic Iorfa 87' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Lawrence 7'
  • goal Tom Lawrence 24'
  • goal Jason Knight 30'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 82'
Championship Gameweek 21
Derby
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Sheff Weds
  • George Evans 25' yellowcard
  • Jason Knight 50' yellowcard
  • Chris Martin 82' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Reach 11'
  • goal Steven Fletcher 23'
  • yellowcard Moses Odubajo 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Hutchinson 83'
  • redcard Moses Odubajo 90'
  • yellowcard Atdhe Nuhiu 95'
Championship Gameweek 36
Derby
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Sheff Weds
  • Bradley Johnson 10' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 43' yellowcard
  • Duane Holmes 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Reach 27'
  • goal Dominic Iorfa 57'
  • yellowcard Liam Palmer 91'
  • yellowcard Sam Winnall 94'

Form Data

Shrewsbury 0 - 3 Sheff Weds
Sheff Weds 2 - 1 Exeter
Bristol Rovers 1 - 2 Sheff Weds
Burton Albion 3 - 2 Sheff Weds
Sheff Weds 3 - 0 Accrington
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Sheff Weds
Derby 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Derby 1 - 0 Burton Albion
Exeter 1 - 2 Derby
Bristol Rovers 1 - 1 Derby
Derby 1 - 1 MK Dons
Forest Green 0 - 2 Derby