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League One
Sheffield Wednesday logo
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Derby logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Derby

Smith (43' pen.)
Brown (61'), Palmer (74'), Johnson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (43'), Smith (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Derby County

 Derby County certainly have more to fight for than their hosts on the final day, but in a tough trip to Hillsborough, we do not anticipate them taking all three points and instead predict a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
50.6% (0.424 0.42) 25.52% (-0.168 -0.17) 23.88% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.42599999999999 0.43)53.67% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.357 0.36)75.16% (-0.358 -0.36)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.355 0.36)21.23% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.54799999999999 0.55)54.13% (-0.548 -0.55)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62%74.38%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 50.6%
    Derby County 23.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.88%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Derby

Sheffield Wednesday
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Derby County
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Derby
0-0
Sheff Weds

Dobbin (52')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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