League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK

Hillsborough Stadium

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Derby

Smith (43' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result
Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Derby County
50.6% ( 0.42)	25.52% ( -0.17)	23.88% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.33% (

0.43)

53.67% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.84% (

0.36)

75.16% (

-0.36)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

0.36)

21.23% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

0.55)

54.13% (

-0.55)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.4% (

-0)

37.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.62%

74.38%

Score Analysis

Sheffield Wednesday 50.6%

Derby County 23.88%

Draw 25.52%

Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 50.6%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.88%