League One Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
  • Lee Gregory 59' goal
  • Callum Paterson 74' goal
  • goal Josh Key 47'

Sheffield Wednesday vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers 1 - 2 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Michael Smith

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Exeter 1 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 13.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result

Sheffield Wednesday 67.52% (-0.65)
Draw 19.35% (+0.35)
Exeter City 13.13% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.61% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.78% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 44.22% (+0.81)
Over 3.5 33.4% (-0.79)
Under 3.5 66.6% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 17.09% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 82.91% (+0.58)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5 87.89% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 12.11% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 62.32% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 37.68% (+0.88)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 55.31% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 44.69% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 19.31% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 80.68% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Sheffield Wednesday 67.51%
Draw 19.35%
Exeter City 13.13%
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0 @ 12.06% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 11.42% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.49% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.84% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 4.48% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.89% (-0.09)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 67.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.2% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.41% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.35%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 4.36% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 3.71% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.76% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 13.13%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Caprice 56' goal
  • goal Callum Paterson 90'+4'
FA Cup
Jan 9, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Adam Reach 27'
  • goal Callum Paterson 90'
League One
Feb 11, 2012 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Billy Jones 68' goal
  • Daniel Nardiello 74' yellowcard
  • David Noble 84' goal
  • goal Jermaine Johnson 65'
  • yellowcard Jermaine Johnson 84'
League One
Sep 24, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Danny Batth 30' yellowcard
  • James O'Connor 40' goal
  • Gary Madine 43' goal
  • Reda Johnson 67' yellowcard
  • Gary Madine 75' goal
  • yellowcard David Noble 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Nardiello 56'
League One
May 7, 2011 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jermaine Johnson 13' goal
  • Neil Mellor 71' yellowcard
  • James O'Connor 77' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Nardiello 76'
  • yellowcard Daniel Nardiello 77'
  • goal Troy Archibald-Henville 89'
League One
Dec 18, 2010 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jamie Cureton 29' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 58' goal
  • Scott Golbourne 61' goal
  • Jamie Cureton 72' goal
  • John O'Flynn 88' goal
  • goal Tommy Miller 31'