League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2023 at 12pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 1
Plymouth

FT(HT: 0-0)

Butcher (70')

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Plymouth Argyle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 3-1 Exeter
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Lincoln
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
37.93% ( -1.64)	25.03% ( -0.32)	37.03% ( 1.96)

Both teams to score 57.65% (

1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.2% (

1.61)

45.79% (

-1.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.89% (

1.51)

68.11% (

-1.52)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

-0.13)

23.83% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.99% (

-0.19)

58% (

0.19)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

1.85)

24.31% (

-1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31% (

2.55)

58.69% (

-2.56)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 37.93%

Plymouth Argyle 37.03%

Draw 25.03%

Exeter City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.93%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.03%