League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 1
Exeter

Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Harper (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Exeter City
54.64% ( 1.03)	23.17% ( -0.22)	22.19% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23% (

0.07)

45.77% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

0.07)

68.09% (

-0.07)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

0.39)

16.64% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.52% (

0.7)

46.48% (

-0.71)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-0.71)

34.78% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-0.75)

71.51% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 54.63%

Exeter City 22.19%

Draw 23.17%

Peterborough United	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.63%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.19%