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Championship header 2

League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
3 - 1
Exeter

Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Kyprianou (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harper (46')
Kite (5'), Caldwell (6'), Harper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Exeter City

 With so much left to play for, Peterborough will need no further incentive to grab this game by the scruff of the neck. We are backing the hosts to dominate proceedings and get the job done in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
54.64% (1.03 1.03) 23.17% (-0.224 -0.22) 22.19% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (0.07 0.07)45.77% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.065999999999999 0.07)68.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.392 0.39)16.64% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.703 0.7)46.48% (-0.709 -0.71)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.708 -0.71)34.78% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.753 -0.75)71.51% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 54.63%
    Exeter City 22.19%
    Draw 23.17%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.215 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.19%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dieng (55')
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Exeter
Assombalonga (72'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Assombalonga (37'), Ephraim (68')

Doherty (23')
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Exeter
Boyd (10', 74'), Mackail-Smith (87')
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Peterborough
Nardiello (54'), Cureton (71')
Jones (46')
Archibald-Henville (29' og.)
Mackail-Smith (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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