League One Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Alex Hartridge 8' goal
  • Ephron Mason-Clark 41' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 70' goal
  • goal Rekeem Harper 46'

Peterborough United vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 3 Peterborough
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Jonson Clarke-Harris

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result

Peterborough United 54.64% (+1.04)
Draw 23.17% (-0.23)
Exeter City 22.19% (-0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.37% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.23% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 45.77% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.91% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 68.09% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.01% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 83.99% (-0.06)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 83.36% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 16.64% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 53.52% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 46.48% (-0.71)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 65.22% (-0.71)
Under 0.5 34.78% (+0.71)
Over 1.5 28.49% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 71.51% (+0.75)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 54.63%
Draw 23.17%
Exeter City 22.19%
Peterborough United
1-0 @ 10.37% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.31% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.88% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.56% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 54.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.17%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.19%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Timothee Dieng 28' goal
  • Sam Nombe 86' goal
  • Jevani Brown 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jonson Clarke-Harris 40'
  • goal Ephron Mason-Clark 81'
EFL Trophy
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 60' yellowcard
  • James Oates 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 60'
  • goal Ivan Toney 67'
  • yellowcard Marcus Maddison 70'
  • goal Jason Cummings 77'
  • yellowcard Alex Woodyard 86'
FA Cup
Nov 9, 2013 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Britt Assombalonga 37' yellowcard
  • Hogan Ephraim 68' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 72' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 79' goal
  • yellowcard Tommy Doherty 23'
League One
Mar 5, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • George Boyd 10' goal
  • George Boyd 74' goal
  • Craig Mackail-Smith 87' goal
League One
Sep 18, 2010 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Billy Jones 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Nardiello 54' goal
  • Jamie Cureton 71' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Mackail-Smith 16'
  • goal Troy Archibald-Henville 29' (OG)