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Jack Sparkes
78'
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David McGoldrick
52'
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David McGoldrick
76'
Exeter City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Exeter City Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.47%
0-0 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.29%
1-2 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.24%