League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Collins (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bishop (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Portsmouth
53.54% ( -0)	24.17% ( 0)	22.28% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.34% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14%

49.85% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15%

71.85% (

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

18.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2% (

-0)

49.79% (

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03% (

36.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24% (

73.75% (

Score Analysis

Derby County 53.54%

Portsmouth 22.28%

Draw 24.16%

Derby County	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 11.55% 2-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.54%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 1% Total : 24.16%	0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.28%