League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Accrington

Pigott (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Portsmouth
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Accrington Stanley
69.99% ( -1.16)	18.58% ( 0.58)	11.43% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 45.91% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.99% (

-1.03)

45% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.64% (

-1)

67.35% (

0.99)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.33% (

-0.6)

11.66% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.28% (

-1.3)

36.71% (

1.29)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.97% (

0.39)

48.02% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.75% (

0.28)

83.24% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 69.98%

Accrington Stanley 11.43%

Draw 18.58%

Portsmouth	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 69.98%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.58%	0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.43%