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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 18.33% | 21.63% ( | 60.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( | 44.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.36% ( | 66.64% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( | 37.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% | 74.62% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% | 14.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% ( | 42.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 5.27% 2-1 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 2.56% 3-1 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.33% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 0-2 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-4 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 3.13% 2-4 @ 1.52% 0-5 @ 1.25% 1-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.78% Total : 60.02% |