Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.