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Championship header 2

League Two

Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
AFC Wimbledon

Sutton
0 - 3
AFC Wimbledon


Beautyman (45+3'), Goodliffe (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Johnson (64'), Pell (80'), Tilley (86')
Al-Hamadi (65')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
34.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.62%37.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 45.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.64% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.34% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 34.31%
    AFC Wimbledon 37.06%
    Draw 28.6%
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.31%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.6%
0-1 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.06%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Sutton
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Randall (13'), Bugiel (69')
Davison (40')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Sutton
Hudlin (17')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Sutton
Eastmond (30')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sutton
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Wilson (47')

Guinness-Walker (71')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Sutton
Elliott (10')
Kelly (57'), Barnett (85')
Robinson (15')
Deacon (75'), Biamou (90'), Fitchett (96')
Deacon (34'), Spence (43'), Collins (82')
rhs 2.0


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