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Championship header 2

League Two

Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Sutton United

Barrow
2 - 1
Sutton

Acauah (79'), Proctor (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Angol (33')
Rose (76')
Smith (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-2 Cambridge (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawSutton United
34.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.25% (0.0040000000000013 0)37.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.78% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)59.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)79.64% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.25% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)68.75% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36%30.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.88% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 34.61%
    Sutton United 37.13%
    Draw 28.24%
BarrowDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.13%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Barrow
0-0
Sutton
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sutton
1-0
Barrow
Fadahunsi (79')

Stevens (88')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Barrow
1-0
Sutton
Rooney (68')
Kay (32'), Brown (75')
Kay (69')

Ajiboye (67')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Sutton
1-0
Barrow
Ajiboye (16')
Goodliffe (13'), Bugiel (51'), Davis (82'), Bouzanis (89')

Kay (45'), Banks (74')
Feb 22, 2020 5.20pm
Gameweek 44
Sutton
2-2
Barrow
Beautyman (45', 66' pen.)
Goodliffe (84')
Quigley (28', 39')
Kay (10'), Platt (56'), Taylor (65'), Brough (83')