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Championship header 2

League Two

Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Carlisle United

Barrow
0 - 1
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Barclay (16')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Barrow and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stockport
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawCarlisle United
40.1% (0.115 0.12)28.41% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)31.49% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.92% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.74% (0.116 0.12)60.26% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.56% (0.09 0.09)80.44% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (0.124 0.12)29.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (0.151 0.15)65.38% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.71% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 40.1%
    Carlisle United 31.48%
    Draw 28.4%
BarrowDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 40.1%
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 31.48%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Carlisle
5-1
Barrow
Mellish (44', 67'), Garner (50'), Patrick (72'), Dennis (89' pen.)
Mellish (76'), Gibson (90+2')
Barclay (84' og.)
Ray (34'), Gotts (56')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Barrow
2-0
Carlisle
Kay (69'), Foley (80')
Neal (45+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 38
Barrow
1-2
Carlisle
Banks (78')
Farman (65'), Rooney (90')
Gibson (32'), Dennis (75')
Mellish (47'), Dennis (76'), Dickenson (81')
Nov 13, 2021 1pm
gameweek 16
Carlisle
0-0
Barrow

Guy (90+5')

Gordon (51'), Stevens (90+5'), Brough (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
gameweek 41
Barrow
2-2
Carlisle
Quigley (19'), Brough (24')
Eardley (25'), Quigley (73')
Armer (3'), Zanzala (79' pen.)
Armer (30'), Tanner (52'), Mellish (66')
rhs 2.0


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