League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 2
Stockport

Mellish (54'), Moxon (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hippolyte (31'), Lemonheigh-Evans (86')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stockport County

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Stockport County
31.36% ( -0.01)	28.17% ( -0.04)	40.47% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 46.57% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57% (

0.15)

59.43% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.2% (

0.12)

79.8% (

-0.12)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.38% (

0.07)

34.61% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66% (

0.08)

71.34% (

-0.08)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

0.11)

28.78% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38% (

0.13)

64.62% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 31.36%

Stockport County 40.46%

Draw 28.16%

Carlisle United	Draw	Stockport County
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 31.36%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 40.46%