League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
Walsall 0 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
Northampton 2 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 37.87% (+0.01)
Draw 28.39% (-0.01)
Northampton Town 33.75% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.22% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 59.78% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 19.93% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 80.07% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 8.3%
Under 4.5 91.7% (-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 69.53% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.47% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.32% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.68% (-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.12% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.28% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.72%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 37.86%
Draw 28.38%
Northampton Town 33.75%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.38%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.75%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Sherring 53' goal
  • Louis Appere 56' goal
  • goal Jack Armer 50'
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tobi Sho-Silva 74' goal
  • Joe Riley 80' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gibson 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 31'
  • yellowcard Fraser Horsfall 56'
  • goal Paul Lewis 79'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Pinnock 80'
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul Lewis 41' goal
  • Paul Lewis 57' goal
  • Paul Lewis 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 66'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 82'
League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Sixfields Stadium
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Scott Pollock 51'
  • yellowcard Billy Waters 58'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 76'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 92'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 12, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Jack Bridge 48' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 54' yellowcard
  • Jack Bridge 62' goal
  • Junior Morias 72' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Etuhu 32'
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 77'