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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Northampton Town

Carlisle
0 - 0
Northampton

FT
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
37.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)28.39% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)33.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.22% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)80.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)33.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.72%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 37.86%
    Northampton Town 33.75%
    Draw 28.38%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 11.15%
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.75%

Head to Head
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Northampton
Sho-Silva (74'), Gibson (90+4' pen.)
Riley (80')
Lewis (79')
McWilliams (31'), Horsfall (56'), Pinnock (80')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Lewis (41', 57', 67' pen.)

Armer (66'), Guy (82')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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