League Two Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
  • goal Jake Reeves 25'

Barrow vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Hartlepool 3 - 1 Barrow
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Josh Gordon

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Stevenage 2 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jordan Roberts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result

Barrow 33.34% (-0.59)
Draw 28.73% (+0.11)
Stevenage 37.93% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.47% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.98% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 61.02% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 18.99% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 81.01% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 7.76% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 92.24% (+0.18)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5 65.95% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 34.05% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 29.27% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 70.73% (+0.68)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 31.06% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 32.62% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 67.38% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Barrow 33.34%
Draw 28.72%
Stevenage 37.92%
Barrow
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.32% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.57% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.72%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 12.36% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.79% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.23% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 37.92%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jake Reeves 18' goal
  • Jamie Reid 50' goal
  • Daniel Sweeney 75' goal
  • Luke Norris 78' goal
  • Tyrell Warren 86' goal
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Amadi-Holloway 55' redcard
  • yellowcard Luke Prosser 65'
  • redcard Luke Prosser 90'+7'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jake Reeves 46' goal
  • Chris Lines 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Scott Cuthbert 52' yellowcard
  • Terence Vancooten 55' yellowcard
  • Jake Taylor 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Taylor 21'
  • yellowcard Oliver Banks 22'
  • yellowcard Matthew Platt 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Josh Kay 51'
  • yellowcard Kgosi Ntlhe 68'
  • yellowcard Jamie Devitt 79'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Elliott List 53' goal
  • Luke Norris 87' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Banks 68'
  • goal Calvin Andrew 78'
  • yellowcard Josh Kay 87'
  • yellowcard Bradley Barry 87'
League Two Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Furness Building Society Stadium
  • Dior Angus 12' goal
  • Tom Beadling 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Newton 11'
  • goal Inih Effiong 85'