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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Barrow

Hartlepool
3 - 1
Barrow

Hamilton (42'), Sterry (68'), Jennings (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garner (21')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawBarrow
32.98% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)27.52% (0.0040000000000013 0)39.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.73% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)77.68% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.012 -0.01)32.07% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (-0.012 -0.01)68.55% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.03% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.0010000000000048 0)63.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 32.98%
    Barrow 39.49%
    Draw 27.52%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.98%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.49%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Barrow
3-1
Hartlepool
Gordon (4'), Whitfield (8'), Waters (21')
Missilou (77')
Hastie (17')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Hartlepool
3-1
Barrow
Molyneux (27', 39'), Bogle (44')
Byrne (50')
Rooney (17')
Driscoll-Glennon (4'), Brown (30'), Taylor (42')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Barrow
3-2
Hartlepool
Zanzala (3'), Gordon (47'), Sea (72')
Arthur (67'), Gordon (90+6')
Burey (17'), Goodwin (61')
Burey (87')
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
gameweek 34
Hartlepool
2-2
Barrow
Holohan (55'), Donaldson (76')
Richardson (34'), Toure (52'), Kioso (71')
Hardcastle (46'), Angus (68')
Quigley (73'), Brown (83')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 9
Barrow
0-1
Hartlepool

Brough (41'), Hardcastle (47'), Barry (78')
Donaldson (71')
Toure (28'), Kioso (81'), Kennedy (91')