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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Crawley Town

Hartlepool
0 - 2
Crawley

FT(HT: 0-1)
Telford (40', 66')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Colchester
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCrawley Town
48.05% (-0.012 -0.01)25.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.57% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93% (0.012 0.01)51.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (0.010000000000002 0.01)72.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74%21.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)33.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 48.05%
    Crawley Town 26.57%
    Draw 25.38%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.8%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.57%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Crawley
0-2
Hartlepool
Menayese (64'), Johnson (81' og.)
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Crawley
0-1
Hartlepool
Bogle (40')
Bogle (12')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Hartlepool
1-0
Crawley
Holohan (88')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Crawley
1-0
Hartlepool
Collins (63')
Collins (30'), Connolly (67'), Young (93')

Donnelly (28'), Woods (42'), Laurent (65'), Walker (93')
Oct 8, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Crawley
Alessandra (12')
Carroll (73'), Harrison (74')
Collins (74' pen.)
Blackman (54'), Clifford (77')
rhs 2.0


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