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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 41.92% ( | 27.91% ( | 30.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.12% ( | 58.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( | 79.38% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( | 27.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( | 63.26% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% ( | 35.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.03% ( | 71.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.16% |