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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 52.25% | 25.11% | 22.64% |
| Both teams to score 48.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% | 53.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% | 74.78% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% | 20.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% | 52.77% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% | 38.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% | 75.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.25% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.48% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.64% |