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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 43.76% | 27.29% | 28.95% |
| Both teams to score 48.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.91% | 57.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.03% | 77.97% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% | 35.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.06% | 71.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.76% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.95% |