FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 8, 2020 at 12.45pm UK

Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
2 - 0
Crawley

Nemane (18'), Whitfield (24')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Torquay Utd win 0-0 on penalties

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Torquay United and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Crawley Town
37.02%	23.91%	39.06%

Both teams to score 61.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.54%

40.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.17%

62.84%

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1%

21.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.84%

55.16%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11%

20.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39%

53.61%

Score Analysis

Torquay United 37.02%

Crawley Town 39.06%

Draw 23.91%

Torquay United	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.02%	1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 8.52% 0-1 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.06%