League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Donovan Wilson 45'+3' goal
  • goal Louis Appere 32'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 50'

Sutton United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Sutton 0 - 2 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Omar Bugiel

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result

Sutton United 31.14% (-0.02)
Draw 28.3% (+0.03)
Northampton Town 40.56% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.12% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.05% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 59.95% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 19.8% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 80.2% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 8.22% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.78% (+0.04)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 35.06% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 28.2% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.8% (+0.06)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.02% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.98% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 35.13% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 64.87% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Sutton United 31.13%
Draw 28.28%
Northampton Town 40.56%
Sutton United
1-0 @ 10.64% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 31.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.15% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.28%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 12.58% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.56%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marc Leonard 15' goal
  • Mitchell Pinnock 37' goal
  • goal Omar Bugiel 47'
  • goal Donovan Wilson 61'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Craig Eastmond 74' redcard
  • yellowcard Paul Lewis 56'
  • yellowcard Fraser Horsfall 79'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 80'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Shaun McWilliams 37' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 38' yellowcard
  • Ali Koiki 71' yellowcard
  • Jordan Flores 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Kizzi 41'
  • goal Donovan Wilson 46'
  • yellowcard Dean Bouzanis 89'