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Championship header 2

League Two

Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Sutton United

Colchester
4 - 1
Sutton

Chambers (19'), Akinde (26'), Tchamadeu (41'), Chilvers (63')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ajiboye (11')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Colchester
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSutton United
37.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)28.43% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)33.91%
Both teams to score 46.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.91% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.83% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)80.17% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.91% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.08% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 37.67%
    Sutton United 33.9%
    Draw 28.42%
Colchester UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.67%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.21%
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.9%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 21
Sutton
1-0
Colchester
Milsom (45+9' pen.)

Smith (18')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Sutton
3-2
Colchester
Olaofe (9', 64'), Randall (90+2')
Smith (45+2'), Eastmond (57')
Edwards (3'), Sears (44' pen.)
Dallison (21'), Sears (59'), Huws (75'), Smith (77')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Sutton
2-1
Colchester
Turner (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Kizzi (57')
Sears (45')
Dobra (34'), Coxe (57'), Sarpong-Wiredu (57')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Colchester
1-3
Sutton
Sears (2')
Hannant (5'), Smith (57'), Chilvers (82')
Tovide (27')
Ajiboye (12'), Milsom (28' pen.), Goodliffe (61')
Goodliffe (55')