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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Carlisle United

Sutton
1 - 1
Carlisle

Kouassi (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kizzi (85' og.)
Robinson (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Carlisle United

 Carlisle only need a point on Monday, but we expect them to take all three, given that they looked very solid in their last away trip against Barrow. Not only that, but Sutton have been very poor in recent weeks, typified by a shock defeat against bottom-of-the-table Rochdale, which indicates they have very little chance against a side of the Cumbrians' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
28.82% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 29.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.81% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)63.62% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.08% (-0.044 -0.04)82.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)38.86% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)75.59% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 28.82%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 29.2%
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.2%
0-1 @ 14.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Sutton vs Carlisle

Sutton United
10.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 1pm
gameweek 20
Carlisle
1-1
Sutton
Edmondson (30')
Guy (45+3')
Randall (45')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Carlisle
0-2
Sutton

Omotoye (52')
Olaofe (23'), Ajiboye (31')
Milsom (55'), Olaofe (67')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
gameweek 9
Sutton
4-0
Carlisle
Whelan (4' og.), Smith (37', 70'), Ajiboye (81')
Goodliffe (57')

Mampala (56'), Dickenson (56')
Mampala (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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