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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Carlisle United

Sutton
1 - 1
Carlisle

Kouassi (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kizzi (85' og.)
Robinson (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-2 Carlisle United

 Carlisle only need a point on Monday, but we expect them to take all three, given that they looked very solid in their last away trip against Barrow. Not only that, but Sutton have been very poor in recent weeks, typified by a shock defeat against bottom-of-the-table Rochdale, which indicates they have very little chance against a side of the Cumbrians' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
28.82% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 29.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.81% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)63.62% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.08% (-0.044 -0.04)82.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)38.86% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)75.59% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 28.82%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 29.2%
Sutton UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.2%
0-1 @ 14.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.45% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Sutton vs Carlisle

Sutton United
10.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 1pm
gameweek 20
Carlisle
1-1
Sutton
Edmondson (30')
Guy (45+3')
Randall (45')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Carlisle
0-2
Sutton

Omotoye (52')
Olaofe (23'), Ajiboye (31')
Milsom (55'), Olaofe (67')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
gameweek 9
Sutton
4-0
Carlisle
Whelan (4' og.), Smith (37', 70'), Ajiboye (81')
Goodliffe (57')

Mampala (56'), Dickenson (56')
Mampala (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport442611791444789
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
RForest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636
> League Two Full Table


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