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Championship header 2

League Two

Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Salford City

Carlisle
2 - 3
Salford City

Garner (77'), Dennis (85' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hendry (23'), Bolton (28', 88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
37.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.12%35.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)54.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.0040000000000013 0)76.17% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)65.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 37.3%
    Salford City 35.57%
    Draw 27.12%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.3%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.57%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Salford City
1-4
Carlisle
Smith (52')
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 30
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
gameweek 15
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
rhs 2.0


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