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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 36.64% ( | 28.73% ( | 34.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.07% ( | 60.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% ( | 80.94% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( | 68.25% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( | 33.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( | 69.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% ( 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.22% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0-2 @ 6.43% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.62% |