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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Colchester
0 - 2
AFC Wimbledon


Egbo (83'), Ihionvien (89'), Read (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tilley (54', 85')
Ogundere (65'), Tilley (67'), Davison (74')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and AFC Wimbledon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
36.64% (0.064 0.06)28.73% (0.116 0.12)34.63% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.35 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07% (-0.423 -0.42)60.92% (0.422 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-0.319 -0.32)80.94% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)31.81% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-0.203 -0.2)68.25% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.342 -0.34)33.12% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.379 -0.38)69.72% (0.37700000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 36.63%
    AFC Wimbledon 34.62%
    Draw 28.72%
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.06% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 11.64% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 34.62%

How you voted: Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon

Colchester United
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
AFC Wimbledon
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Colchester
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Akinde (51' pen.)
Davison (67'), Chislett (89')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
AFC Wimbledon
2-1
Colchester
Davison (47', 66' pen.)
Appiah (18')
rhs 2.0


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