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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 43.99% ( | 26.77% | 29.24% |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( | 55.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( | 76.3% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% | 24.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( | 59.46% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( | 33.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% ( | 70.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.24% |