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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Bradford City

Crewe
3 - 2
Bradford

Agyei (16', 43'), Long (90+11' pen.)
Williams (15'), Agyei (86'), Baker-Richardson (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cook (46'), Walker (54')
Crichlow (8'), Banks (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Bradford City

Crewe's home form has been excellent to close out the season, but they now come up against a side determined to make a late push for promotion. Bradford have been superb in 2023 and should seal at least a playoff place before the final day here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
23.8% (0.454 0.45) 27.03% (0.681 0.68) 49.17% (-1.135 -1.14)
Both teams to score 44.93% (-1.367 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.86% (-2.011 -2.01)59.14% (2.011 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-1.579 -1.58)79.57% (1.579 1.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.707 -0.71)40.73% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.642 -0.64)77.32% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-1.384 -1.38)24.18% (1.384 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (-2.006 -2.01)58.51% (2.005 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 23.8%
    Bradford City 49.17%
    Draw 27.02%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.491 0.49)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.97% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.725 0.73)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 13.98% (0.49 0.49)
0-2 @ 9.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.17%

How you voted: Crewe vs Bradford

Crewe Alexandra
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Bradford City
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Bradford
0-0
Crewe

Banks (30'), Halliday (65')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
gameweek 6
Crewe
2-1
Bradford
Kirk (42'), Lowery (60')
Pickering (7'), Lowery (74'), Ng (77'), Dale (94')
Vaughan (32')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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