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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Swindon Town

Crewe
2 - 1
Swindon

Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hepburn-Murphy (44')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
27.6% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)25.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)47.17% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.74% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (-0.012 -0.01)71.75% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)32.34% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.85% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.93%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 27.6%
    Swindon Town 47.17%
    Draw 25.22%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.6%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.17%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
King (30')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 30
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
gameweek 15
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
gameweek 27
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
rhs 2.0


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