/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
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Conor Thomas
82'
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Joel Tabiner
86'
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Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
44'
Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result
Crewe Alexandra
27.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
25.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Swindon Town
47.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
53.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.26%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
49.74%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
28.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
71.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
13.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
86.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
67.66%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
32.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
31.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
68.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
78.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
21.1%
Over 1.5
46.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
53.93%
Score analysis
Crewe Alexandra
27.6%
Draw
25.22%
Swindon Town
47.17%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0
@
7.7%
2-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.6%
2-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.6%
Draw
1-1
@
11.98%
0-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.22%
0-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.22%
Swindon Town
0-1
@
10.61%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-2 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.17%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-2 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.17%
