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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 33.55% ( | 28.02% ( | 38.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.53% ( | 58.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.94% ( | 79.06% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( | 32.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% ( | 69.11% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( | 65.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.43% |