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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Colchester United
Crawley Town
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Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Sutton United
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Mansfield Town

Colchester
0 - 2
Mansfield


Marshall-Miranda (35'), Dallison (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harbottle (45+2'), Gale (90+7')
Perch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-3 Mansfield Town

Colchester are only playing for league position, while Mansfield are targeting a place in the League Two playoffs, and we think that the extra motivation could propel the Stags to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
33.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 28.02% (0.00099999999999767 0) 38.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 33.54%
    Mansfield Town 38.43%
    Draw 28.01%
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.43%

How you voted: Colchester vs Mansfield

Colchester United
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29')
Newby (10')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 29
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
gameweek 13
Mansfield
1-1
Colchester
Maynard (67')
Clarke (63'), Rawson (88')
Norris (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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