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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 61.55% ( | 21.27% ( | 17.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( | 44.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.07% ( | 66.93% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( | 13.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.56% ( | 41.43% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( | 39.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.93% ( | 76.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.54% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 2-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.17% |