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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Walsall |
40.85% ( 0.39) | 27.02% ( -0.12) | 32.13% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 50.18% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( 0.39) | 54.99% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( 0.32) | 76.26% ( -0.32) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.39) | 26.46% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% ( 0.52) | 61.64% ( -0.52) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% ( 0.01) | 31.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.81% ( 0.01) | 68.19% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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