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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Harrogate Town

Northampton
3 - 1
Harrogate

Norman Jr (9'), Hoskins (23'), Bowie (45+2')
Hondermarck (20'), McWilliams (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Olaigbe (3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Walsall
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawHarrogate Town
56.69% (0.0019999999999953 0) 24.2% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 19.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)53.62% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.044 -0.04)75.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)50.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.44% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)78.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 56.67%
    Harrogate Town 19.11%
    Draw 24.2%
Northampton TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 56.67%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 19.11%

How you voted: Northampton vs Harrogate

Northampton Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Harrogate Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Harrogate
1-1
Northampton
Armstrong (50')
Olaigbe (62')
Pinnock (49')
Yengi (80')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
gameweek 43
Northampton
3-0
Harrogate
Hoskins (28', 63'), Appere (59')

Austerfield (45'), Burrell (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 21
Harrogate
1-2
Northampton
Diamond (24')
Burrell (51')
Horsfall (7'), Guthrie (49')
McGowan (55'), Rose (69'), Sowerby (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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