League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
3 - 1
Harrogate

Norman Jr (9'), Hoskins (23'), Bowie (45+2')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Olaigbe (3')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Walsall
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
56.69% ( 0)	24.2% ( 0.01)	19.11% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.74% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.37% (

-0.05)

53.62% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.87% (

-0.04)

75.12% (

0.04)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22% (

-0.02)

18.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.81% (

-0.03)

50.18% (

0.03)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.55% (

-0.05)

42.44% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

-0.04)

78.82% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 56.67%

Harrogate Town 19.11%

Draw 24.2%

Northampton Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 56.67%	1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.11%