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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Harrogate Town

Newport
2 - 3
Harrogate

Bogle (3', 79')
Bennett (39'), Evans (61'), Waite (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Sims (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Newport
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Harrogate Town

Harrogate need just one more point to confirm their status as a League Two side for next season, and we expect them to get it, considering Newport have nothing to play for at this point. The Exiles have looked more solid in recent weeks, but they have struggled at home for the vast majority of the season, and that record is likely to continue on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
49.77% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.24% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.94% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.78% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)35.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)72.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 49.77%
    Harrogate Town 24.87%
    Draw 25.35%
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Newport vs Harrogate

Newport County
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Harrogate Town
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Harrogate
2-2
Newport
Muldoon (34'), Armstrong (43')
Bennett (3'), Willmott (38')
Demetriou (85')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Harrogate
2-1
Newport
March (34'), Martin (66')
March (44'), Burrell (82')
Gambin (17')
Shephard (73')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
gameweek 10
Newport
2-1
Harrogate
Amond (30'), Cooper (88')
Smith (44')
Kerry (14'), Falkingham (23'), Jones (75')
Falkingham (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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