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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Harrogate Town

Newport
2 - 3
Harrogate

Bogle (3', 79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Newport
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
49.77% (0.023000000000003 0.02)25.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)24.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.24% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.94% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.78% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)35.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)72.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 49.77%
    Harrogate Town 24.87%
    Draw 25.35%
Newport CountyDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Newport vs Harrogate

Newport County
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Harrogate Town
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Harrogate
2-2
Newport
Muldoon (34'), Armstrong (43')
Bennett (3'), Willmott (38')
Demetriou (85')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Harrogate
2-1
Newport
March (34'), Martin (66')
March (44'), Burrell (82')
Gambin (17')
Shephard (73')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
gameweek 10
Newport
2-1
Harrogate
Amond (30'), Cooper (88')
Smith (44')
Kerry (14'), Falkingham (23'), Jones (75')
Falkingham (37')